主题：【原创】北非风暴和以色列的军事态势 -- 晨枫
当然，这领导我也不是不想当的，美女左拥右抱更想，但意淫归意淫，咱民工还是讲个实事求是脚踏实地不是。
1.
Lashkar-e-Omar (LeO)
2.
Sipah-e-Sahaba Pakistan (SSP)
3.
Tehreek-e-Jaferia Pakistan (TJP)
4.
Tehreek-e-Nafaz-e-Shariat-e-Mohammadi
5.
Lashkar-eJhangvi (LeJ)
6.
Sipah-e-Muhammad Pakistan (SMP)
7.
Jamaat-ul-Fuqra
8.
Nadeem Commando
9.
Popular Front for Armed Resistance
10.
Muslim United Army
11.
Harkat-ul-Mujahideen Al-alami(HuMA)
Trans-national Organisations
1.
Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM)
2.
Harkat-ul-Ansar (HuA, presently known as Harkat-ul Mujahideen)
3.
Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT)
4.
Jaish-e-Mohammad Mujahideen E-Tanzeem (JeM)
5.
Harkat-ul Mujahideen (HuM, previously known as Harkat-ul-Ansar)
6.
Al Badr
7.
Jamait-ul-Mujahideen (JuM)
8.
Lashkar-e-Jabbar (LeJ)
9.
Harkat-ul-Jehad-al-Islami(HUJI)
10.
Muttahida Jehad Council (MJC)
11.
Al Barq
12.
Tehrik-ul-Mujahideen
13.
Al Jehad
14.
Jammu & Kashir National Liberation Army
15.
People’s League
16.
Muslim Janbaz Force
17.
Kashmir Jehad Force
18.
Al Jehad Force (combines Muslim Janbaz Force and Kashmir Jehad Force)
19.
Al Umar Mujahideen
20.
Mahaz-e-Azadi
21.
Islami Jamaat-e-Tulba
22.
Jammu & Kashmir Students Liberation Front
23.
Ikhwan-ul-Mujahideen
24.
Islamic Students League
25.
Tehrik-e-Hurriat-e-Kashmir
26.
Tehrik-e-Nifaz-e-Fiqar Jafaria
27.
Al Mustafa Liberation Fighters
28.
Tehrik-e-Jehad-e-Islami
29.
Muslim Mujahideen
30.
Al Mujahid Force
31.
Tehrik-e-Jehad
32.
Islami Inquilabi Mahaz
1.
Al-Rashid Trust
2.
Al-Akhtar Trust
3.
Rabita Trust
4.
Ummah Tamir-e-Nau
我们防的了这个，防的了那个吗？我觉得一个还是从严厉打击维族的犯罪入手，把这些人该毙的毙，该关的关，否则这些人本身就是中国组织最严密分布最广的黑手党，他们随便在哪里放点C4或到我们的哪个学校进行下扫射和屠杀是随时都会有可能发生的事情，到时候可能就是俄罗斯第二了。一个，就是在新疆恢复老毛的那一套，成天逼那些鸟人学习洗脑，要跟他们讲老毛就是这个时代的马赫迪，他们一天做五次向麦加的祷告，就让他们一天做五次向北京的祷告，经文就变成由古兰经与毛泽东思想相结合的那种（我在回族清真寺学过几天他们的教材是与儒家结合的那种），来学习的一次给一块钱，表现好的优秀分子一个月给两百到两千的补贴，然后揭发揭露坏分子批斗，拒不改造的实行恐怖政策肉体消灭。不这样搞（破坏他在国内的组织体系和思想倾向），你怎么搜情报，怎么发展经济都是没用的。
然后跑到新疆这里，某族的这群鸟人却给掉了个个，这帮人一个个按着老教异端的方式生活，却又靠着三抬派给钱闹事。人活着还真可以这么不要脸啊。
还有一个现在的国际环境也有利于我们，美国现在还在当绿教的靶子。现在不采取措施，搞不好美国人一撤绿教就会开始主攻我们了。
Here is the shocking, three-decade story of A. Q. Khan and Pakistan’s nuclear program, and the complicity of the United States in the spread of nuclear weaponry.
In December, 1975, A. Q. Khan—a young Pakistani scientist working in Holland—stole top-secret blueprints for a revolutionary new process to arm a nuclear bomb. His original intention, and that of his government, was purely patriotic—to provide Pakistan a counter to India’s recently unveiled nuclear device. However, as Levy and Scott-Clark relate in their investigation of Khan’s career over the past thirty years, over time that limited ambition mushroomed into the world’s largest clandestine network engaged in selling nuclear secrets—a mercenary and illicit program managed by the Pakistani military and made possible, in large part, by aid money from the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Libya, and by indiscriminate assistance from China.
The authors reveal that the sales of nuclear weapons technology to Iran, North Korea, and Libya, so much in the news today, were made with the clear knowledge of the American government, for whom Pakistan has been a crucial buffer state and ally—first against the Soviet Union, now in the “war against terror.” Every successive American presidency, from Carter to George W. Bush, has turned a blind eye to Pakistan’s nuclear activity—rewriting and destroying evidence provided by its intelligence agencies, lying to Congress and the American people about Pakistan’s intentions and capability, and facilitating, through shortsightedness and intent, the spread of the very weapons we vilify the “axis of evil” powers for having and fear terrorists will obtain. Deception puts our current standoffs with Iran and North Korea in a startling new perspective, and makes clear two things: that Pakistan, far from being an ally, is a rogue nation at the epicenter of world destabilization; and that the complicity of the United States has ushered in a new nuclear winter.
http://www.clarkandlevy.com/
巴铁是够不着美国的，但消灭中国却是轻而易举的事情。如果我们现在采取措施改变各项政策的话可能还来的及，还有机会－－比如先让他们和印度先耗上。如果还跟老毛那时一样做冤大头做傻瓜搞不好是真有可能亡国灭种的。
Now, up until 1979, the whole of the world, the Western world, was against Pakistan’s program and did everything it could to inderdict that program, fearing the instability of Pakistan, fearing a nuclear arms race between Pakistan and India. And in fact, at one point, the CIA and the Pentagon looked at sending over a team to destroy the program in a covert operation that was discussed in a meeting with General Brent Scowcroft. But come 1979, things changed, and really, this will completely alter the West’s attitude to the Pakistan program.
In ’79, of course, the Soviets invade Afghanistan, and prior to that, the U.S. ally, the Shah in Iran, flees, enabling Khomenei, the Ayatollah, to come back, and the CIA loses its listening stations, it loses a great ally. And suggestions are made to Carter from Zbigniew Brzezinski, the national security adviser, that America reconsider for the first time the gold standard of nonproliferation and shove it down the agenda in order to begin a new relationship with Pakistan, that was struggling to obtain nuclear weapons. So the suggestion from Brzezinski was the beginning of turning a blind eye, let’s say.
But Carter runs out of steam. And it will be only Reagan, when Reagan comes in in ’81, that effectively can lead to this policy being implemented. And then we will see ten years of what State Department people describe as U.S. permissiveness, but I think what the rest of us would describe as collaboration, covertly, between the Reagan administration and the Pakistan military, to cement security relationship, enabling their nuclear program. And really—I suppose we can go back into some detail on this at a later point, but over that ten years, the whole program would be facilitated. They would cold test a bomb, which means computer simulate one in ’82. ’83 they’d repeat that process. In 1984, the Chinese would take that bomb and hot test it, actually let it off in a Lop Nor test site, their Lop Nor test site. By ’87, that bomb, the Pakistani bomb, had been fixed under a U.S.-supplied F-16 fighter jet and was ready to deploy, a jet sold on the precondition that it could never be used by Pakistan for the nuclear program.
And one thing to remember here is that, year in, year out, throughout that chronology that I’ve given you, Reagan was telling the American people and Congress Pakistan has no bomb, Pakistan cannot deploy a bomb, and it’s not seeking a bomb. And so, you know, the ground was created for the Pakistan weapons program. But it’s more overt than that even, in that there was actual direct U.S. covert aid to that program supplied through the Pentagon and the disruption of CIA operations to inderdict the weapons program by Reagan official appointees who were working with the Pakistanis, collaborating. The results in the ’90s were that Pakistan did proliferate, because U.S. aid was cut off and the U.S. turned its back on Pakistan. And the Pakistanis milked their nuclear program for hard cash, selling to Iran, Iraq, North Korea, Libya, the Axis of Evil powers. And we also know there is intelligence to show that they began negotiations very much with Saudi Arabia, with Syria, and of course there are tentative contacts with al-Qaeda elements, as well.
首先我认为民主政治这个词本身就不对，这个词是清末中国人从日本生搬硬套过来的。它在日本是对的，但是在中国就是错的。因为中日之间的“民”有个致命的差别。
而且民主政治意思也翻译的不对，应该叫群主政治而不是民主政治，中国人思想里的民主政治更多指的是暴民政治或者群愚政治。所以从群主政治来看，伊斯兰世界还是可以实现民选的。但是民选的几乎全都逃脱不了伊斯兰背景。原因无他，因为伊斯兰社会的社群基本组成原理是宗教。
所以如果民选政治，我认为必然是伊斯兰背景的上台。
http://www.tianya.cn/publicforum/content/worldlook/1/179550.shtml『国际观察』 巴勒斯坦人口迅速增长成以色列致命弱点
只有以色列与巴勒斯坦人分治，才能使已经建立的犹太国生存下去。
不少以色列学者接受了索弗的观点，并不断对以色列人口结构发出警告，声称除非以色列放弃部分被占领的巴勒斯坦领土，否则以色列将无法既成为犹太国家，又成为民主国家，因为被占领土的巴勒斯坦人口增长迅速。
在2005年8月以色列撤离加沙地带之前，在以色列控制的土地上约有1050万人口，其中51%为犹太人，49%为阿拉伯人。由于巴勒斯坦人的出生率高于犹太人，改变人口结构优势只是时间问题。
而在民主国家中，通常不同民族的人拥有同样的公民选举权利。在巴勒斯坦地区，如果不及时建立巴勒斯坦国或者巴勒斯坦人放弃建立国家的权利，转而要求合并为一个国家，那么，巴勒斯坦人的人口优势可能使未来的以色列国成为第二个南非。
换言之，如果以色列要实行民主制度，在巴勒斯坦国不能成立的情况下，被占领土的巴勒斯坦人必须拥有选举权，巴勒斯坦人的人口优势可能会选出一个非犹太人总理。
如此看来，人口统计学因素是沙龙提出并实施单边行动计划和主张巴勒斯坦建国的一个主要原因。
哈马斯在1月25日举行的选举中胜出，震惊了世界。曾宣布哈马斯为“恐怖组织”的以 色列对哈马斯上台执政戒心极大，其内心有一种前所未有的危机感和紧迫感。沙龙接班人奥尔默特在2月7日接受以色列电视二台采访时说，今天的现实迫使以色列 必须重新划定与巴勒斯坦的边界。这意味着以色列不得不从部分约旦河西岸地区的领土撤出。
奥尔默特在竞选中提出第二次单边撤离计划，并宣布将致力于划定巴以永久边界，看来奥尔默特决心执行沙龙的路线。目前利库德集团和工党均表示同意继续从约旦河西岸撤离，但主张与巴勒斯坦方面协议撤离。
以色列大多数民众现在也围绕走中间路线达成了比较广泛的一致，并接受从约旦河西岸进一步撤离，以便实现同巴勒斯坦人的分离。这可能是以色列建国以来首次出现这种情况。
PP后面加装一节？
发动机喷嘴改形？
subway,metro都有地铁的意思
我和朋友就出过一个地铁门口，一个在超市门口，互相等的事情。
1、埃及等国家的军队目前来看是亲美的，宗教草根势力是反美的。因而，目前埃及军队和草根之间是有矛盾的。
2、但是不是军队和宗教草根之间永远就有矛盾呢？不是的。以巴基斯坦为例，军队利用majahidi在阿富汗反苏、在克什米尔反印，和宗教草根是合作关系。这种情况下，政治局面就比较稳定。
3、美国看到这种情况很不舒服，就压迫巴基斯坦军队进攻宗教草根，导致巴基斯坦情况迅速恶化。
4、埃及等国军队是否亲美，要看美国是否还能主导中东的军事、政治、经济局面。如果美国依旧控制局面，那么军队会反对宗教极端势力。如其不然，则军队会迅速和宗教合流，把矛盾指向外部的异教势力。宗教草根会利用输出极端势力获取军方支持，军方会利用输出极端势力疏导国内政治压力，形成一种合作局面。
5、假如美国人撑不住了，象越战之后撤了，龟缩到两个大洋之间--仅仅假设而已--那么宗教极端势力离中国近还是美国近？本.拉登支持互不干涉内政以及和平共处五项原则吗？
这里的网友跟绿教跟外高加索人没有接触不了解没关系。但老胡还想着靠发展当地经济来解决问题，别的该改的地方一动不动实在让人寒心啊。等将来中国版的车臣战争爆发了甚至被人用核弹炸了，老胡是要被列入汪精卫一列立成跪像的啊。
thumbs up. Buddy, you really know mid-east well.
米在收缩，极端绿色就有可能和米合作。而中国和极端绿色有不可回避的地缘关系，更有可能是他们的敌人。
这种预测就已经开始变为现实了。但目前关于此事的说法尚多，真相如何，拭目以待。
中国刚刚爬上的大国地位的冷板凳上，小屁股还木将它捂热，就要面临绿色汪洋的挑战？下个针对中国的可能的热点是哪儿呢?
美国人撑不住最好，丫没了中东，就是一美洲国家了。
没了张屠户就吃带毛猪？拜托老兄了，和美国商量一下，让这老丫迅速撤退，中国愿意担负起这个任务，勇敢地面对。
如果速度够快，比如打击和摧毁国内最大的黑帮组织，也比如成功地像当年斯大林操纵中国政治让中国和日本先拼起来一样让巴基斯坦先和印度耗起来，也比如我们在美国摇摇欲坠要退出阿富汗不想再当靶子的时候给美国提供点支援让美国继续站在反恐战争的第一线，或者明确向美国表态支持以色列解决伊朗，。。。。。等等等等，充分利用我们对巴基斯坦的影响力（这种影响力在目前来讲是超过了我们对朝鲜的影响力的），也利用我们已经和穆斯林世界形成的一些联系，如果我们有相应的VISION和策略，我们的战略形势会好很多。就怕领导跟愤青一样巴铁巴铁的叫，还继续向穆斯林世界输出核技术导弹技术。
只要中国放开计划生育，房价之类的事，贫富差距的事，国企效率低的事，都是小事。只要人在，一切困难，中国都可以克服。