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主题:【原创】奔向复苏或者奔向危机的2007 -- 葡萄

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      • 家园 请教!

        英国《金融时报》:新货币Ebu诞生

        外链出处

        2007年09月24日 10:54

        英国《金融时报》今日载文称,一种名为Ebu的新货币日前进入全球外汇市场。

        欧洲借贷单位(European Borrowing Unit)为零利率货币,由巴克莱资本(Barclays Capital)创造,目的是帮助使用者规避汇率波动。

        Ebu基于10种主要货币的组合,主要发行对象为希望找到替代日元和瑞士法郎等低收益货币的企业和机构借款者。

        最近几年,机构借款者一直普遍使用日元和瑞士法郎筹集资金。国际清算银行(BIS)最新季度评估显示,今年第一季度,以日元计价的贷款总额为1.05万亿美元,以瑞士法郎计价的贷款额也已攀升至6780亿美元。

        ------------------------------------

        直接理由是为了避免套汇交易,在欧洲利率剧高不下以及欧元区出口疲软的情况下,真正的目的是什么?请河里的大鱼点拨。谢谢。

        • 家园 普京秘会法德前首脑 或谈欧盟政策变化问题

          外链出处

          【星岛网讯】受俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京的邀请,法国前总统希拉克和德国前总理施罗德23日晚飞抵俄罗斯索契,参加了普京特别为他们举行的聚会。

          ...............

        • 家园 法国总理称法国已破产 无法提供薪水和补贴

          外链出处

          【星岛网讯】继上周声称法国已处于破产状态后,法国总理弗朗索瓦·菲永24日再度出言,称法国公共财政已处于“紧急”状态,并呼吁政府采取有力措施削减巨额财政赤字。菲永21日曾宣称,法国已经破产,无法再向该国工作人员提供大量薪水和补贴,这一言论招致猛烈批评。

          ..........

        • 家园 谁和谁打???
        • 家园 多琢磨下

          del

        • 家园 不好

          del

          • 不好
            家园 准备打伊朗了?
          • 不好
            家园 转贴网友天地上jmisp19jc老先生的最新发言

            外链出处

            大家好

            各位朋友好,始终关心这里的几位朋友好。

            临时接了一个活儿,耽搁了这么多的时间,也辜负了小朋友的委托,很是不好意思。给大家道个歉。几多年轻人为了这个国家的未来能够放弃自己的切身利益,以身许国,我是从心底佩服的。40年前,也有几个人说过这话,现在年轻一代前仆后继,端的是国家之栋梁、民族之希望。

            前儿走时,说我们要从大西洋中间分一下,有小朋友怀疑说错了吧。是否是太平洋的误?我已经更正说,就是大西洋的事儿。现在看,是否已经初露端倪?50年代,毛泽东主席往莫斯科见斯大林。斯大林说,中国是大国,以后亚洲的社会主义革命事业就由中国负责。主席当时也是稍稍谦虚而已。

            当下,秦人失鹿,天下共逐之。本就是利益之争,那里还有再客气的道理。你给,我们就接着,若是不给,以后扳起石头砸了自己的脚,那是肯定的。56年,我们就管了欧洲的事儿,现在再接手也未必就作不好。何况,一个好汉三个帮不是?

            这个月,国内CPI高起。城镇人口的生活压力迅速增加,这是可以猜到的。我是高兴的。农村问题,农民问题,说了十几年,始终没有效果。“只闻楼梯响,就是不见人”。几个脾气大的老头子没完没了的写信,被人当笑话。现在,终于有结果,这是好事。CPI的背后是粮食,粮食的背后是农民。CPI起来,无论有多少钱进了农民的口袋,只要有开头就好。

            当然,这段时间,国内的封疆大吏也变化频频。政治稳定是压倒一切的。现在为了自己的蝇头小利就用什么下三烂的办法,上书的时候会写上一笔的。500年后都有人戳你的脊梁骨。适可而止,闲下来,讲讲课,务务虚,不也是很好?有些年轻人是喜欢老头子讲课的。早些时候,几个年轻人说到未来全球的三大货币是美元、欧元和人民币。我看是偏颇了,再过50年,若是还有欧元就是欧洲人的福气。一群落魄贵族,抱着自己的破宅子,没什么希望。现在,美元的贬值策略已经非常清晰而且已经相当到位。年初的时候,曾经和大家说过美元的问题。但是通过次级债体现出来,我们也是没有预料到的。很突然,我们虽然有些准备,但是也很仓促。香港这次没有受到大的影响,也是运气的成份大些。当然,外交上施加的压力也是重要的。现在需要注意的是,美元未来会有一个比较大的回调,完成对贬值收益的回收。现在全球媒体对美元乱批一通,胡说八道的居多。

            微观上,我们关注自己的企业才是。还是当初的观点,不要只看重企业拿回来的票子。美国人满世界的发废纸,你数它有什么用?我说一汽好些,你偏偏要看它抽屉里面的钱?我说一汽的老总干得好,你偏说整个中国的汽车业现在这个鬼样子都怪他。你是混帐还是糊涂?不要把钱都攥在手里,给几个老总分分,让他们放开手干。出了错误不怕。没有错误那里来的人才?错误来了,让老头子挨板子就是了。非要搞什么企业目标单一,什么那是债,不能动。脑子糊涂还管不住嘴!读了几本书就当自己是秀才了?89年、 93年、01年,秀才们惹得祸还少?

            当初,我们给人修铁路是自不量力。大会批、小会闹,最后什么“大和尚、小和尚”都出来了。现在有了钱,那就继续修。修他个十万八千里!这次说用200个亿的美元弄这个事儿,我们看是好事儿。方向正确就不要婆婆妈妈的算小帐。WTO也好,世界银行也好,一个衙门,几个牌子,无非是圈地。修铁路是好事儿吧?我们不用你的贷款,以后长了粮食咱和苦弟兄们1、9开。

            陈水扁闹的凶,无非是美国人撑腰。闹闹也就算了,没什么大惊小怪,这种事儿,今年有,明年还有。30年后也绝不了。不拖住,怎么打?将来的政府怎么办?只看眼前,总想自己名垂青史,这个家是当不了的。

            仓促了,几位伙伴多批评。

          • 不好
            家园 谢谢

            葡萄兄答复。貌似美国现在要连本带息地索要欧洲的欠帐,德国一口气同时得罪三个大国,看来在劫难逃了。

            • 谢谢
              家园 你是西西河、网友天地两边转贴啊。。。。
          • 不好
            家园 什么事情?葡萄兄

            说清楚一些,你别吓我约

    • 家园 英国兄弟提前毒发,美国减息1/2厘赚了面子还赚里子

      美联储减息1/2厘,本来对美元将构成很大的压力,但英国按揭银行毒发事件,让美元继续保持强势,其中日元已经由上周1的低点113回去116,英镑在上周甚至一度跌传2算

      在18日议息后目前欧元,英镑对美元绝地反弹。但日元继续疲软。

      美股在美联储做出大动作后也同时露出笑脸,当日反弹336点(大约2.5个点)。其中各大小银行等最受惠。

      外链出处

      Fed slashes interest rates to buffer economy

      By Mark Felsenthal

      WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve on Tuesday slashed U.S. interest rates by a hefty half-percentage point in a bold bid to shield the economy from a housing slump and financial turbulence, sparking a big rally on Wall Street.

      The unanimous decision by the central bank\'s policy-makers took the benchmark federal funds rate, which governs overnight loans between banks, down to 4.75 percent, its lowest since May of last year. The Fed also cut the discount rate it charges for direct loans to banks by a half-point to 5.25 percent.

      It was the first cut in the federal funds rate -- the Fed\'s main tool to influence the economy -- since June 2003 and the first half-point cut since November 2002.

      Financial markets had widely expected the Fed to lower overnight borrowing costs, but were surprised by the aggressive half-point move, the first rate cut since Ben Bernanke took over as chairman of the central bank in February last year.

      Stock prices surged as the decision gave investors hope the housing and credit turmoil wouldn\'t drag the economy down. The blue chip Dow Jones industrial average was up nearly 300 points, or more than 2 percent, in late afternoon.

      However, prices for long-term government debt fell, suggesting investors harbored some concerns on inflation, although prices for short-term notes rose in anticipation of further rate reductions.

      \"The Bernanke Fed has finally cast its unwarranted caution aside; we applaud this bold move,\" said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, New York.

      But others worried the Fed may be prematurely abandoning its vigilance against inflation to soothe markets.

      \"This should make people less confident for the Fed to achieve their number one objective which is keeping inflation at bay,\" said Robert MacIntosh, chief economist at Eaton Vance Management in Boston. \"They overreacted.\"

      Commercial banks swiftly followed the Fed and cut the prime rate they charge their best customers for loans.

      PRE-EMPTIVE STRIKE

      In a statement outlining its decision, the Fed said its move was a pre-emptive strike to neutralize the impact of market turmoil on the economy.

      \"Today\'s action is intended to help forestall some of the adverse effects on the broader economy that might otherwise arise from the disruptions in financial markets and to promote moderate growth over time,\" it said.

      The central bank said it still believed the economy faced some risk of inflation, but said market developments since its last meeting in early August had increased the uncertainty surrounding the outlook.

      \"The committee will continue to assess the effects of these and other developments on economic prospects and will act as needed to foster price stability and sustainable economic growth,\" it said.

      There has been accumulating evidence that a prolonged U.S. housing market downturn and a wild financial market ride over the summer has taken a toll on broader economic activity.

      A decline in employment in August, the first drop in four years, appeared to confirm that housing-related strains were weighing on businesses and households.

      In addition, reports on retail sales and industrial output in August also showed some softness.

      At its previous regular meeting on August 7, the U.S. central bank had said its predominant concern was inflation, even as it noted tighter credit and financial market volatility.

      Within days, financial markets unraveled as French bank BNP Paribas froze three funds with U.S. subprime mortgage market exposure. The Fed on August 10 said it would pump cash into the banking system as needed to keep markets functioning normally.

      Even so, stock markets tumbled the following week, at one point plumbing declines of more than 10 percent below 52-week highs before rebounding.

      The Fed then stepped in on August 17 with a surprise cut to the discount rate and an explicit acknowledgment that risks to economic growth had \"increased appreciably.\"

      Tuesday\'s rate cut seeks to address those risks.

      \"I think it was the right move,\" said Martin Feldstein, head of the National Bureau of Economic Research, who had called for rate cuts. \"It can\'t solve the problems that are weakening the economy (but) it can help offset them.\"

      (Additional reporting by David Lawder and Emily Kaiser)

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