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主题:【原创】新冠疫情发展的不负责推测 -- 菜根谭

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家园 住院率和住院周期是更有用的指标

重症患者要么住院,要么在家等死。一旦住院率和住院周期高到击穿医疗资源,死亡率肯定直线上升。英国的NHS现在还能维持,但如果情况继续恶化的话,就不好说了。

Last week, NHS England said more people were waiting for treatment than at any time since it started keeping records -- 5.7 million -- while health care staff battled the busiest September on record this year.

"There is no doubt the NHS is running hot, with the highest ever number of patients seen in A&E in September, 14-times as many covid patients in hospital compared to the same month last year and record 999 ambulance calls," Professor Stephen Powis, the NHS national medical director, said of the figures.

【上周,英国国家医疗服务体系(NHS England)表示,等待治疗的人数比开始记录以来的任何时候都要多--570万人--而医疗保健人员正在与今年有记录以来最繁忙的9月作斗争。NHS国家医疗总监斯蒂芬·鲍维斯(Stephen Powis)教授在谈到这些数据时表示:“毫无疑问,NHS非常繁忙,9月份在急诊室就诊的病人数量创下历史新高,与去年同期相比,住院的新冠病人数量增加了14倍,救护车呼叫次数达到创纪录的999次。”】

The UK has more new Covid-19 cases than France, Germany, Italy and Spain combined

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