主题：【讨论】影帝对王立军事件定性：必须反思！！！ -- Javacai
1. Major bull/bear market in the past
Start End Lengh (Days)
Aug-82 Jan-00 6362
Feb-66 Aug-82 6025
Jun-49 Feb-66 6089
Sep-29 Jun-49 7213
2.
The averaged time of the last four major bull/bear market is about 6422 days.
The averaged time of the last two major bear market is about 6618 days.
The Jun-49 bull market and the following bear market are about the same size, so there are some chances that our current bear market will be the same size as the Aug-82 bull market.
3. If history repeat itself, our current bear market bull will be end at 2017-2018.
Start End Days
Jan-00 Aug-17 6422
Jan-00 Feb-18 6618
Jan-00 Jun-17 6362
Let's wait and see.
- 相关回复 上下关系8
压缩 5 层
🙂真这样我觉得倒会离全球社会主义近些 不远攸高 字264 2012-04-20 03:50:51
🙂说反了，这才是美国社民党吃香的原因 心文连博 字199 2012-04-20 04:09:43
🙂我要想一想再回答你 PBS 字54 2012-04-20 03:25:47
🙂About the 2017 prediction
🙂你这样的算法没有考虑每次经济周期的跌幅，历史不会简单重复 16 PBS 字1670 2012-04-23 22:57:07
🙂第三次世界大战快来了 1 葡萄去哪了 字734 2012-04-24 03:30:58
🙂机器人理论与市场经济理论矛盾 2 海峰 字491 2012-04-20 01:46:59
🙂一个企业能成功，靠的是垄断、科技门槛或组织能力 1 墨虎 字248 2012-04-23 20:55:25