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主题:【原创】今风细雨话经济(7)民主,劳动力与创新 -- 鼎革

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家园 民主与经济发展

政治经济学中被普遍接受的结论是经济发展促进民主,而非民主促进经济发展。与此相关的研究非常之多,随便一查即可得。

最近的一篇文章的结论是经济和民主没有关系,谁也不促进谁,参见Daron Acemoglu的Income and Democracy

We revisit one of the central empirical findings of the political economy literature that higher income per capita causes democracy. Existing studies establish a strong cross-country correlation between income and democracy, but do not typically control for factors that simultaneously affect both variables. We show that controlling for such factors by including country fixed effects removes the statistical association between income per capita and various measures of democracy. We also present instrumental-variables estimates using two different strategies. These estimates also show no causal effect of income on democracy. Furthermore, we reconcile the positive cross-country correlation between income and democracy with the absence of a causal effect of income on democracy by showing that the long-run evolution of income and democracy is related to historical factors. Consistent with this, the positive correlation between income and democracy disappears, even without fixed effects, when we control for the historical determinants of economic and political development in a sample of former European colonies.

民主是个好东西,但是把任何好东西都往民主上拉不是一件好事情。

民主促进经济发展,这句话听起来和“共产主义解放生产力”很相似,不是吗?

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