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主题:Credit Crunch -- 修竹

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家园 Credit Crunch

不錯的訪問。注意他們的潛台詞。

[FLASH]http://video.google.com/googleplayer.swf?docId=-1393776214264698170:171000:1193000&hl=en[/FLASH]

當然還有上星期五,Cramer的火爆表演。

[FLASH]http://www.youtube.com/v/wtjkWJzxdQU[/FLASH]

加些文字的鏈接

Liquidity Crisis Goes Global

外链出处

情況並不樂觀,出了甚麼問題要動用千多億來救市?用了千多億,但市況仍然如此,如何繼續?明天又會如何?這真是一個「極熱」的夏天!!

ECB, Fed inject $150 billion into jittery market

Central banks moves to counter liquidity crunch

外链出处

家园 谢谢。

我也属于比较乐观的吧。

还是认为波及不到整个经济。比较整个房贷市场在fixed income里面占的比例也有限。

家园 不要輕易相信

那些政府官員。他們是Pay to Lie。他們永遠只講好消息。

多留意市場及找些有良好記錄的評論員。那比較會知多些。另外的是外國評論。例如歐洲或亞洲評論北美或反是的文章。他們比較不受影響。

在北美,甚多主流傳媒,尤其是那些梅鐸擁有的新聞機構,我一向都不甚相信。相信梅鐸的新聞,好易中招。

這次次按危機,絕不簡單。現在已擴至了Alt-A。

這數天來,無論歐洲央行及聯儲局,都已用危機處理方法對付了。但放出這麼多錢,暫時還未見效。今天收市前,不知PPT會如何出手。但影響相信是甚長遠的。不要看輕。

現在看聯儲局會否突然減息。相信伯南克會盡量避免如此自打咀巴的動作。但形勢迫人。財經界對伯南克應已信心盡失。看Paulson如何救市。

ECB Starts 3-Day Refinancing Tender to Provide Cash (Update1)

By Christian Vits

Aug. 10 (Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank said it will launch a three-day quick tender today to add cash after concerns over U.S. subprime mortgage losses continued to roil credit markets and drove overnight interest rates higher.

``This liquidity-providing fine-tuning operation follows up on the operation conducted yesterday and aims to assure orderly conditions in the euro money market,'' the Frankfurt-based ECB said in a statement. The minimum bid rate for the tender will be 4 percent, the ECB added. Bids for the liquidity-providing operation are due by 10:50 a.m. Frankfurt time.

The ECB's announcement comes after the bank yesterday pumped 94.8 billion euros ($130.2 billion) in cash into markets. The overnight euro rate rose as high as 4.27 percent today, compared with the ECB's benchmark refinancing rate of 4 percent.

``Today's `normal' tender will tell us a lot more via the total bid size and the rate about the genuine underlying liquidity need,'' said Kevin Gaynor, head of economics and rates strategy at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. ``Funding from the ECB yesterday must have drawn firms into overbidding to access the cheap cash to lend on at even healthier-than-normal spreads.''

This morning the ECB said it will continue to ``closely monitor'' the conditions on the euro money market in response to a sudden demand for cash.

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Financial stocks fell sharply to start Friday as fears of a systemwide seizure in the secondary mortgage market and a broadening credit crunch sent shivers through investors.

The Federal Reserve acknowledged the problems Friday morning, steppping in to buy $19 billion of mortgage securities and telling world markets it will assure liquidity.

The U.S. central bank said it's providing liquidity "to facilitate the orderly functioning of financial markets." In a statement, the Fed said it will provide reserves "as necessary" through open-market operations to promote trading in the federal funds market at rates close to 5.25%.

In addition, the Fed noted that banks may experience "unusual funding needs because of dislocations in money and credit markets." Other central banks injected funds overnight.

家园 降息或者注入资金会不会导致情况恶化?

无论是mortgage还是private equity,如果注入更多资金,是会导致局势缓和呢?还是导致问题进一步恶化?

家园 導入資金

避免崩潰是現在的唯一方法。這亦是歐美央行的做法。

至於後事如何,將來才打算。

至於現在急於減息,我覺得反效果可能更大。倒不如大開貼現窗,有求必應更有效。現在甚麼也電子化了,製造金錢,也不用甚麼成本!!

家园 Cramer的火爆表演

這是對他的表演加上了說明。不錯。

[FLASH]http://www.youtube.com/v/Pd5zAbDKZEg[/FLASH]

家园 菜菜提问:这央行的钱怎么来的呢?

央行可以自己发钞票,是吗?即使他们有这个权力,遇到危机时,自己想发多少就发多少,这样行吗?他们注入资金有没有上限?

家园 菜菜回答:从直升飞机上掉下来

央行当然可以发钞票.想发多少就发多少,不过发得太多就成了民国的法币鸟

家园 俺也这么想。但,他们怎么这样明目张胆地干呀

这不是鼓励墙街的精英日后继续变新花样嘛。反正有央行

家园 花得通宝,谢谢

恭喜:意外获得【西西河通宝】一枚

谢谢:作者意外获得【西西河通宝】一枚

鲜花已经成功送出。

此次送花为【有效送花赞扬,涨乐善、声望】

[返回] [关闭]

家园 大笑,大笑,修竹兄贴的好,送花。

忍不住引一段

"投资银行们欢天喜地地走了. 形象地说, 这个过程类似不法商贩将麦当劳倾倒的废油收集起来, 再经过简单的过滤和分离, “变废为宝”, 重新包装一下又卖给餐馆老板炒菜或煎炸油条。"

家园 谢谢,是我想的太简单。以后还要多请教。

之前没看见这个回复,真是不好意思。

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