主题：【原创】道琼斯新高： 傻瓜在狂奔 -- 倥偬飞人
Bloomberg报道美国政府为了选举，有可能对第三季度的GDP数据做了粉饰，真实的成长可能只有0.9%! 最明显的就是汽车行业明明不景气，美国商务部经济分析局却公布了汽车生产增长了26%！自打嘴巴的是美国联储局公布的数据表明，第三季度汽车生产下降了12%！如果确实如此，Roubini认为第三季度的GDP成长可能低于1%的看法，也是很准确的。华尔街是不是也配合共和党搞了这么一出连创新高啊？NND, 刑不上大夫, 美国政府这样编造数据，不仅仅欺骗选民，还欺骗了全世界的投资人，不需要负责任的吗？
This mismeasurement of motor vehicle production in Q3 is highly suspicious coming about ten days before the US mid-term elections. It is also highly suspicious as it is not clear how the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) at the Department of Commerce could have made such a gross mistake when seeing an alleged 26% increase in auto production that was patently at odds with many facts. During Q3 all the major US automakers - Ford, GM, Chrysler - announced production cuts for both Q3 and Q4. So, how could the folks at BEA argue and estimate that production went up by a whopping 26%? These data also do not make any sense as the Federal Reserve Board data on automotive production in Q3 show a sharp fall in production of motor vehicles of 12% (see http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/Current/g17.pdf, Table 1).
- 相关回复 上下关系8
🙂参考一下：Roubini新的预测 1 倥偬飞人 字5071 2006-10-29 01:08:08
🙂【文摘】经济放缓到1.6%，比大多数预测还要差 1 倥偬飞人 字4361 2006-10-27 08:58:20
🙂这个1.6%还要下调，因为这仅仅是个暂时数据 laozhong 字318 2006-10-29 01:27:27
🙂果然怀疑美国政府作了手脚
🙂更加有戏可看的是经济衰退伴随石油回涨 1 laozhong 字793 2006-10-30 02:06:58
🙂对中国是3重坏消息 思考得人 字56 2006-10-30 03:04:11
🙂这跟中国没关，美国衰退是谁都阻挡不了的 1 laozhong 字624 2006-10-30 03:41:19
🙂不是这么说 思考得人 字186 2006-10-30 04:24:45