主题：【原创】印度崛起：神话与现实 -- 晨枫

The Indian government recognises the need to tackle the infrastructure crisis, and is getting better at persuading private firms to stump up the capital. But the process is slow and infected with corruption. It is hard to measure these things, but many observers think China has done a better job than India of curbing corruption, with its usual brutal methods, such as shooting people.

Given the choice between doing business in China or India, most foreign investors would probably pick China. The market is bigger, the government easier to deal with, and if your supply chain for manufactured goods does not pass through China your shareholders will demand to know why. But as the global economy becomes more knowledge-intensive, India’s advantage will grow. That is something to ponder while stuck in the Delhi traffic.

sammysenior wrote:

Sep 30th 2010 3:21 GMT

Here we go again, another dose of Economist romanticism.

450 million poor in India (more than in entire Africa combined) also mean 450 million who do not have any economic space to play. 250 million defecating on train tracks also mean 250 million whose ill-health will never allow contributing to the national economic growth. 57 million children in India malnourished - one third of all underweight children in the world - means that when they grow up they will be operating on the economic fringes.The young demography will soon turn into a old demography and the task to provide welfare services to them will be gigantic, and quite simply unmanageable for any country in the world, let alone India.

Deeply entrenched caste and ethnic divisions, Maoists waging war in more than a third of the country, all neighbouring countries irritated and annoyed with India and opening up to China, the wealth of few cities never trickling down to the poor let alone lifting the poor out of poverty at one big go, endemic corruption and institutional inability to undertake massive projects (CWG anyone?).

And the western world thinks India will outpace China’s growth? What do you eat when you are hungry? Democracy? Besides, we think China is just going take a nap now and let someone walk past?

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