西西河

主题:【原创】马萨诸塞红蓝易色之后 -- 晨枫

共:💬139 🌺262
全看分页树展 · 主题 跟帖
家园 a few comments

北美政治中草根保守主义的能量,一旦发作出来,对北美的内政外交的影响十分巨大。

--that's normal. Before 1930s, this kind of isolationism ideology shed North America from a destructive European World War II. In today's world, if this philosophy took control of both Canadian/American gov., that means Canada/American alliance will cut dramatically the military spending and withdraw their global presence. I am not talking about Iraq/Afghanistan, I am talking about 750+ global military bases, dumping their allies in crucial regions and let other world powers to decide the fate of Euroasia landmass.

1.America as a continent will be completely marginalized in world politics.

2.USD may endanger its reserve currency status and Americans-Canadians shall balance their budget with their own domestic savings. North America will lose access to easy credit and a global saving pool.

This will impact LONG-term gov. bond yields, financing costs, as well as economic growth/job creation in the North American continent. Long term slow-growth+higher inflation will be the result.

3.The continent will lose its global financial leadership.

4. I do not think 草根保守主义 camp can produce leaders with enough international knowledge/diplamatic skills to maintain the Pax Americana or even just manage this diverse continent.

I am not sure whether they fully understand the benefits of the current American empire they are living in and outcomes of dismantling this empire.

The fight between globalists and isolationists have been going on for many decades in American history. I am not so sure that average redneck Joes can look further beyond their tomorrow's breakfast and this year's tax bill AND see the big picture.

Note: why I put US/Canada together? Because effectively, they are one country. Whatever happens in one place will quickly spread over into the other. Politically, America has 1960s movement and charismatic Kennedy to bring huge changes, at the same time, Canadian put handsome Trudeau in PM, who single-handedly shaped Canadian's life for decades. Both "countries" turned conservative around the same time with Reagan elected as the president and Mulroney as the PM in 1980s (funnily, both were Irish). Canada has no monetary policy independence and BoC effectively followed every step of Federal Reserve. The border between Canada/US is a joke, effectively...

全看分页树展 · 主题 跟帖


有趣有益,互惠互利;开阔视野,博采众长。
虚拟的网络,真实的人。天南地北客,相逢皆朋友

Copyright © cchere 西西河