主题：【原创】格鲁吉亚危机3：萨卡什维利的高空走钢丝演砸了 -- 独孤鸿影

The leadership in SCO is so far not an issue. Dragon won't be leaded by bear, vice versa. Today economy bond could be a more effective way than any destructive weapons in ruling this world. So the leadership, could be explained by a strong economy power that is able to connect the majority of neigbouring countries. or even further ones together.

Currently, Sam is by far stronger than any of bear and dragon. Sam has been putting his nose in middle Asia area and eastern Europe for quite some time. The effects of Sam's efforts have come out already: it broke the old European order, and refreshes the old alliance NATO with more aggressive new roles, like Georgia, Poland, and Ukraine, which have been shown highly enthumastic in having troubles with bear.

SCO was establshed under such a circumastance. Bear should have realized it neither will be decently accepted as a member of Wetern Club, and nor is able to maintain the current sitation only by itself, thus it appealed to dragon. Clearly bear has recognized dragon's interests in the central Asia. In fact this is the basis of SCO as well as B-D collaboration. Remeber what happened just before March, 21 this year? Bear didn't shout, and it simply sent a military delegation to dragon a week before that day.

In this round fight, bear achieved his goal with dragon's help - Georgia was punished, Sam's involvement was explosed and lost face in the conflict, Ukraine, Poland were warned, and EU gave in. Dragon played a role of quiet soldier in this round fight-his gun was pointing to enemies in silence. Probably bear and dragon did some practises about all possible situations in the excercise last year.

As the fate of SCO, now it is not right time to predic because Sam is still by far stronger than any of these two, and it is able to keep this much stronger power for some time. However, one thing is quite clear, as long as Sam keeps expanding, the organization will continue to exist and function.