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家园 我对资金需求的看法

关于资金供应,这是我在去年8月的一个粗略计算。后来A涨到6000,超过我的预期,不过后来一解禁,流动股量大增,要抬高整个股市的资金需求就大了很多.

One thing on how A shares near future, when A was at 4200, the value of chinese (both shenzhen and shanghai) market is 17 trillions, equal the total saving in the banks. WHen A at 4800, the value went up to 21 trillions, so about 4 trillion for every 800 poins. So theoretically in the near term, if all the money from banks are moved to stock market, A share can be at 8000 at most. Considering the possiblity of emptying bank is 0, A up to 5000 is quite high and the upside is very limited because there are less and less money supply from the banks.

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